Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaxias to win ✗53% · @1.75
Double chanceCaxias or draw ✓80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Caxias vs Floresta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Caxias welcome Floresta to Estadio Francisco Stedile for a Serie C fixture on Saturday 11 July (15:00 WAT). In the table, Caxias are 14th on 25 points after 19 matches; Floresta are 3rd with 5. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Caxias, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ferroviária, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Floresta, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Guarani Campinas, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caxias 1.3 xG, Floresta 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caxias 53%, draw 28%, Floresta 20%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caxias 1–0 Floresta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caxias53%fair 1.89 · @1.75
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.10
Floresta20%fair 5.09 · @4.75
2.03Expected goals
1.28Caxias xG
0.75Floresta xG
46%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–013%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Caxias 1.3 – 0.7 Floresta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caxias to win✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Double chance
Caxias or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.53
Draw no bet
Caxias (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Floresta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Caxias to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caxias / FT Caxias✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.94
–
Recent results
Caxias – last 6
WDDLWD
5 Jul
@ Ferroviária
1–0
W
30 Jun
vs Anápolis
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Maringá
1–1
D
13 Jun
@ Guarani Campinas
1–2
L
30 May
vs Ituano
2–1
W
23 May
@ Maranhão
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Floresta – last 6
DWLLWL
5 Jul
@ Guarani Campinas
0–0
D
27 Jun
vs Barra
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ Brusque
1–2
L
14 Jun
vs Figueirense
1–2
L
30 May
vs Confiança
1–0
W
26 May
@ Paysandu
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caxias and Floresta.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Caxias vs Floresta?
On our numbers Caxias have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Floresta 20%.
How many goals will there be in Caxias vs Floresta?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caxias vs Floresta?
Our predicted score is Caxias 1–0 Floresta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Caxias vs Floresta?
Caxias vs Floresta (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Stedile.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
