Value bet: Amazonas to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPaysandu to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.44
Amazonas vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paysandu travel to face Amazonas on Monday 27 July in the Serie C – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Amazonas are 13th on 26 points after 19 matches; Paysandu are 4th with 5. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Amazonas, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Inter De Limeira, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Paysandu, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Guarani Campinas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amazonas 1.3 xG, Paysandu 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amazonas 35%, draw 26%, Paysandu 39%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Amazonas to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amazonas 1–1 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amazonas35%fair 2.82 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.20
Paysandu39%fair 2.59 · @2.20
2.56Expected goals
1.29Amazonas xG
1.27Paysandu xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Amazonas 1.3 – 1.3 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paysandu to win✗
39%
2.59
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Paysandu (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Paysandu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Amazonas to score first
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amazonas / FT Amazonas✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.44
–
Recent results
Amazonas – last 6
LLLDWL
12 Jul
@ Inter De Limeira
0–1
L
7 Jul
vs AO Itabaiana
0–2
L
1 Jul
@ Volta Redonda
0–3
L
21 Jun
@ Barra
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
31 May
@ Guarani Campinas
0–5
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Paysandu – last 6
WLLWLL
12 Jul
vs Guarani Campinas
3–2
W
5 Jul
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Santa Cruz
1–3
L
21 Jun
@ Maranhão
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Inter De Limeira
1–2
L
1 Jun
@ Figueirense
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amazonas and Paysandu.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Amazonas vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Amazonas have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Paysandu 39%.
How many goals will there be in Amazonas vs Paysandu?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amazonas vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Amazonas 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Amazonas vs Paysandu?
Amazonas vs Paysandu (Serie C) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
