Caxias vs Botafogo PB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Serie C brings Caxias against Botafogo PB at Estadio Francisco Stedile. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Caxias are 14th on 25 points after 19 matches; Botafogo PB are 4th with 5. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Caxias, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Floresta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Botafogo PB, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Confiança, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Botafogo PB, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Caxias.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caxias 1.2 xG, Botafogo PB 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caxias 46%, draw 27%, Botafogo PB 26%.
Lower-risk option: Caxias or draw (74%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caxias 1–0 Botafogo PB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caxias46%fair 2.16 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.35
Botafogo PB26%fair 3.79 · @3.80
2.13Expected goals
1.18Caxias xG
0.95Botafogo PB xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Caxias 1.2 – 0.9 Botafogo PB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caxias to win✗
46%
2.16
1.85
Double chance
Caxias or draw✗
74%
1.36
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Draw no bet
Caxias (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo PB +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Caxias to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caxias / FT Caxias✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.74
–
Recent results
Caxias – last 6
DWDDLW
11 Jul
vs Floresta
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Ferroviária
1–0
W
30 Jun
vs Anápolis
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Maringá
1–1
D
13 Jun
@ Guarani Campinas
1–2
L
30 May
vs Ituano
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Botafogo PB – last 6
WWWWDW
12 Jul
vs Confiança
2–0
W
6 Jul
@ Anápolis
2–0
W
1 Jul
vs Brusque
2–0
W
20 Jun
vs Volta Redonda
2–0
W
16 Jun
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
30 May
vs Maringá
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caxias and Botafogo PB.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Caxias vs Botafogo PB?
On our numbers Caxias have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botafogo PB 26%.
How many goals will there be in Caxias vs Botafogo PB?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caxias vs Botafogo PB?
Our predicted score is Caxias 1–0 Botafogo PB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Caxias vs Botafogo PB?
Caxias vs Botafogo PB (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Stedile.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
