Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultItuano to win ✓48% · @1.85
Double chanceItuano or draw ✓75% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.23
Ituano vs Barra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barra travel to face Ituano on Saturday 8 August in the Serie C – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Ituano are 15th, lower half, on 22 points after 19 matches; Barra are 17th (lower half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ituano, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Brusque, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Barra, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ypiranga-RS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ituano 1.2 xG, Barra 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ituano 48%, draw 27%, Barra 25%.
Lower-risk option: Ituano or draw (75%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituano 1–1 Barra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ituano48%fair 2.11 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.20
Barra25%fair 3.98 · @4.10
2.26Expected goals
1.24Ituano xG
1.03Barra xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.2 – 1.0 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ituano to win✓
48%
2.11
1.85
Double chance
Ituano or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Ituano (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Barra +1 (Asian handicap)✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Ituano to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ituano / FT Ituano✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.23
–
Recent results
Ituano – last 6
LLLDDD
26 Jul
@ Brusque
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Ferroviária
1–3
L
4 Jul
@ Santa Cruz
0–1
L
29 Jun
vs Maranhão
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ AO Itabaiana
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
LLWLDL
26 Jul
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Santa Cruz
1–2
L
4 Jul
@ Confiança
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Floresta
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Amazonas
1–1
D
16 Jun
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituano and Barra.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Ituano vs Barra?
On our numbers Ituano have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Barra 25%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Barra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–1 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Barra?
Ituano vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
