Paysandu vs Confiança: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paysandu welcome Confiança to Leonidas Sodre de Castro for a Serie C fixture on Tuesday 11 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Paysandu are 4th on 5 points after 6 matches; Confiança are 20th with 13.
Current form
Paysandu, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Amazonas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Confiança, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AO Itabaiana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.6 xG, Confiança 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 56%, draw 25%, Confiança 19%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–0 Confiança. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paysandu56%fair 1.78 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.55
Confiança19%fair 5.24 · @5.25
2.50Expected goals
1.59Paysandu xG
0.90Confiança xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.6 – 0.9 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paysandu to win✓
56%
1.78
1.60
Double chance
Paysandu or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.77
Draw no bet
Paysandu (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Confiança +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Paysandu to score first✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✗
33%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
Paysandu – last 6
LWLLWL
27 Jul
@ Amazonas
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs Guarani Campinas
3–2
W
5 Jul
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Santa Cruz
1–3
L
21 Jun
@ Maranhão
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Inter De Limeira
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Confiança – last 6
DLLDWL
25 Jul
vs AO Itabaiana
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Barra
1–2
L
29 Jun
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
22 Jun
vs Guarani Campinas
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Volta Redonda
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Confiança.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Paysandu vs Confiança?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Confiança 19%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Confiança?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Confiança?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–0 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Confiança?
Paysandu vs Confiança (Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Leonidas Sodre de Castro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
