Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultSturt Lions to win ✓64% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
05:30 WAT, Saturday 21 March: Para Hills Knights v Sturt Lions in the South Australia NPL.
Current form
Para Hills Knights, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to White City Woodville, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Sturt Lions, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to MetroStars, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Sturt Lions, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Para Hills Knights.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Para Hills Knights 1.4 xG, Sturt Lions 2.8 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Para Hills Knights 20%, draw 16%, Sturt Lions 64%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sturt Lions to win (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Para Hills Knights 1–2 Sturt Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Para Hills Knights20%fair 5.08 · @3.80
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @4.20
Sturt Lions64%fair 1.57 · @1.65
4.17Expected goals
1.35Para Hills Knights xG
2.82Sturt Lions xG
67%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–38%
0–26%
1–16%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Para Hills Knights 1.4 – 2.8 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturt Lions to win✓
64%
1.57
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.36
Draw no bet
Sturt Lions (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Sturt Lions -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
First team to score
Sturt Lions to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Sturt Lions ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturt Lions / FT Sturt Lions✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Para Hills Knights – last 3
LDL
13 Mar
@ White City Woodville
0–5
L
7 Mar
vs West Torrens Birkalla
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ Croydon Kings
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sturt Lions – last 3
LWW
14 Mar
vs MetroStars
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs West Adelaide
4–3
W
28 Feb
@ White City Woodville
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Para Hills Knights and Sturt Lions.
What is the prediction for Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?
Our pick is Sturt Lions to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?
On our numbers Para Hills Knights have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sturt Lions 64%.
How many goals will there be in Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?
Our predicted score is Para Hills Knights 1–2 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?
Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia
Campbelltown City2
Playford City Patriots1
MetroStars2
Adelaide City2