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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Playford City Patriots v Sturt Lions: numbers & prediction

South Australia NPL · Australia · Ramsay Park
Playford City Patriots 45%Draw 23%Sturt Lions 32% Expected goals 1.92 – 1.55
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultPlayford City Patriots to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.24

Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:30 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Playford City Patriots v Sturt Lions in the South Australia NPL, played at Ramsay Park.

Current form

Playford City Patriots, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FK Beograd, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.4 a game lately.

Sturt Lions, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to West Torrens Birkalla, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Playford City Patriots 1.9 xG, Sturt Lions 1.5 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Playford City Patriots 45%, draw 23%, Sturt Lions 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Playford City Patriots 1–1 Sturt Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Playford City Patriots45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
Sturt Lions32%fair 3.12 · @2.75
3.47Expected goals
1.92Playford City Patriots xG
1.55Sturt Lions xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%

From our goals model: Playford City Patriots 1.9 – 1.5 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlayford City Patriots to win ✓45%2.242.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.36
Draw no betPlayford City Patriots (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapSturt Lions +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
First team to scorePlayford City Patriots to score first54%1.86–
Half-time resultPlayford City Patriots ahead at half-time ✗37%2.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Playford City Patriots / FT Playford City Patriots ✗29%3.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.24–

Recent results

Playford City Patriots – last 5

DLWWW
27 Mar@ FK Beograd2–2D
21 Mar@ Campbelltown City1–2L
14 Marvs Croydon Kings2–0W
7 Mar@ MetroStars3–1W
28 Febvs Adelaide United II4–2W
2.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Sturt Lions – last 5

LWLWW
28 Marvs West Torrens Birkalla2–4L
21 Mar@ Para Hills Knights5–0W
14 Marvs MetroStars0–1L
7 Marvs West Adelaide4–3W
28 Feb@ White City Woodville3–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Playford City Patriots and Sturt Lions.

Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions head-to-head page →

More South Australia NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?

On our numbers Playford City Patriots have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sturt Lions 32%.

How many goals will there be in Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?

Our predicted score is Playford City Patriots 1–1 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?

Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Ramsay Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.