Sturt Lions 24%Draw 22%Adelaide City 54%Expected goals 1.33 – 2.07
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultAdelaide City to win ✗54% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.53
Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Adelaide City travel to face Sturt Lions on Saturday 18 April in the South Australia NPL, with Karinya Reserve the venue – the ball rolls at 06:30 WAT.
Current form
Sturt Lions, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Playford City Patriots, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Adelaide City, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Para Hills Knights, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Momentum favours Adelaide City, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Sturt Lions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sturt Lions 1.3 xG, Adelaide City 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sturt Lions 24%, draw 22%, Adelaide City 54%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturt Lions 1–2 Adelaide City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sturt Lions24%fair 4.21 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.90
Adelaide City54%fair 1.84 · @1.73
3.41Expected goals
1.33Sturt Lions xG
2.07Adelaide City xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sturt Lions 1.3 – 2.1 Adelaide City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Adelaide City to win✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.36
Draw no bet
Adelaide City (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Sturt Lions +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Adelaide City to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Adelaide City ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Adelaide City / FT Adelaide City✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.53
–
Recent results
Sturt Lions – last 6
LLWLWW
11 Apr
@ Playford City Patriots
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs West Torrens Birkalla
2–4
L
21 Mar
@ Para Hills Knights
5–0
W
14 Mar
vs MetroStars
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs West Adelaide
4–3
W
28 Feb
@ White City Woodville
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Adelaide City – last 6
WWDDWW
11 Apr
@ Para Hills Knights
3–1
W
28 Mar
vs Adelaide Comets
4–1
W
21 Mar
@ MetroStars
2–2
D
14 Mar
vs Adelaide United II
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Croydon Kings
4–0
W
28 Feb
vs West Adelaide
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturt Lions and Adelaide City.
What is the prediction for Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City?
On our numbers Sturt Lions have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Adelaide City 54%.
How many goals will there be in Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City?
Our predicted score is Sturt Lions 1–2 Adelaide City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City?
Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Karinya Reserve.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Karinya Reserve
Para Hills Knights0
Campbelltown City5
MetroStars3
FK Beograd0