Sturt Lions 38%Draw 24%Adelaide United II 38%Expected goals 1.51 – 1.46
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Picks by market
ResultAdelaide United II to win ✓38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.11
Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Adelaide United II travel to face Sturt Lions on Saturday 2 May in the South Australia NPL, with Karinya Reserve the venue – the ball rolls at 06:30 WAT.
Current form
Sturt Lions, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Adelaide City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Adelaide United II, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over West Adelaide, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sturt Lions 1.5 xG, Adelaide United II 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sturt Lions 38%, draw 24%, Adelaide United II 38%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturt Lions 1–1 Adelaide United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sturt Lions38%fair 2.66 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.60
Adelaide United II38%fair 2.60 · @2.20
2.97Expected goals
1.51Sturt Lions xG
1.46Adelaide United II xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sturt Lions 1.5 – 1.5 Adelaide United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Adelaide United II to win✓
38%
2.60
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.35
Draw no bet
Adelaide United II (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Adelaide United II +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Sturt Lions to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturt Lions / FT Sturt Lions✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.11
–
Recent results
Sturt Lions – last 6
WLLWLW
18 Apr
vs Adelaide City
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Playford City Patriots
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs West Torrens Birkalla
2–4
L
21 Mar
@ Para Hills Knights
5–0
W
14 Mar
vs MetroStars
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs West Adelaide
4–3
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Adelaide United II – last 6
WDDWDL
19 Apr
vs West Adelaide
4–0
W
11 Apr
@ Campbelltown City
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Croydon Kings
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Adelaide Comets
1–0
W
14 Mar
@ Adelaide City
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs White City Woodville
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturt Lions and Adelaide United II.
What is the prediction for Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?
On our numbers Sturt Lions have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Adelaide United II 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?
Our predicted score is Sturt Lions 1–1 Adelaide United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?
Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Karinya Reserve.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Karinya Reserve
Playford City Patriots8
Para Hills Knights1
FK Beograd3
Adelaide Comets1
West Adelaide3
MetroStars3