Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultSturt Lions to win ✗49% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Adelaide Comets welcome Sturt Lions to Ellis Park for a South Australia NPL fixture on Friday 8 May (12:00 WAT).
Current form
Adelaide Comets, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FK Beograd, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sturt Lions, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Adelaide United II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sturt Lions, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Adelaide Comets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Adelaide Comets 1.4 xG, Sturt Lions 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Adelaide Comets 30%, draw 21%, Sturt Lions 49%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adelaide Comets 1–1 Sturt Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Adelaide Comets30%fair 3.33 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.00
Sturt Lions49%fair 2.05 · @1.75
3.08Expected goals
1.43Adelaide Comets xG
1.65Sturt Lions xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Adelaide Comets 1.4 – 1.6 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturt Lions to win✗
49%
2.05
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Draw no bet
Sturt Lions (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Adelaide Comets +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
First team to score
Sturt Lions to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturt Lions / FT Sturt Lions✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Adelaide Comets – last 6
LLDLLL
2 May
@ FK Beograd
1–3
L
17 Apr
vs Playford City Patriots
1–2
L
11 Apr
@ Croydon Kings
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ Adelaide City
1–4
L
20 Mar
vs Adelaide United II
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ West Adelaide
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sturt Lions – last 6
LWLLWL
2 May
vs Adelaide United II
2–3
L
18 Apr
vs Adelaide City
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Playford City Patriots
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs West Torrens Birkalla
2–4
L
21 Mar
@ Para Hills Knights
5–0
W
14 Mar
vs MetroStars
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Adelaide Comets and Sturt Lions.
What is the prediction for Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?
On our numbers Adelaide Comets have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sturt Lions 49%.
How many goals will there be in Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?
Our predicted score is Adelaide Comets 1–1 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?
Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ellis Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Ellis Park
West Torrens Birkalla3
Playford City Patriots3