Adelaide City 50%Draw 22%FK Beograd 28%Expected goals 1.96 – 1.16
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Adelaide City to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAdelaide City to win ✗50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Adelaide City vs FK Beograd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 23 May the South Australia NPL brings Adelaide City against FK Beograd at Adelaide City Park. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.
Current form
Adelaide City, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Playford City Patriots, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
FK Beograd, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Campbelltown City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Adelaide City 2.0 xG, FK Beograd 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Adelaide City 50%, draw 22%, FK Beograd 28%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Adelaide City to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adelaide City 1–1 FK Beograd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Adelaide City50%fair 2.00 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.60
FK Beograd28%fair 3.54 · @2.62
3.11Expected goals
1.96Adelaide City xG
1.16FK Beograd xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Adelaide City 2.0 – 1.2 FK Beograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Adelaide City to win✗
50%
2.00
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Draw no bet
Adelaide City (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
FK Beograd +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
First team to score
Adelaide City to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Adelaide City ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Adelaide City / FT Adelaide City✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Adelaide City – last 6
DWLLWW
16 May
@ Playford City Patriots
0–0
D
9 May
vs Campbelltown City
2–1
W
1 May
@ West Torrens Birkalla
0–1
L
18 Apr
@ Sturt Lions
0–1
L
11 Apr
@ Para Hills Knights
3–1
W
28 Mar
vs Adelaide Comets
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Beograd – last 6
WWWLDD
16 May
vs Campbelltown City
3–1
W
9 May
@ Croydon Kings
2–0
W
2 May
vs Adelaide Comets
3–1
W
18 Apr
@ MetroStars
0–3
L
11 Apr
@ West Adelaide
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Playford City Patriots
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Adelaide City and FK Beograd.
What is the prediction for Adelaide City vs FK Beograd?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Adelaide City vs FK Beograd?
On our numbers Adelaide City have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Beograd 28%.
How many goals will there be in Adelaide City vs FK Beograd?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adelaide City vs FK Beograd?
Our predicted score is Adelaide City 1–1 FK Beograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Adelaide City vs FK Beograd?
Adelaide City vs FK Beograd (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Adelaide City Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Adelaide City Park
Adelaide Comets4
Para Hills Knights0
Campbelltown City2
Sturt Lions0
Adelaide United II3
West Torrens Birkalla0
Playford City Patriots1
West Adelaide4