Adelaide City 60%Draw 23%Sturt Lions 18%Expected goals 2.09 – 1.01
82%
Betarazi pick
Adelaide City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAdelaide City to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceAdelaide City or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Adelaide City welcome Sturt Lions to Adelaide City Park for a South Australia NPL fixture on Friday 5 June (11:00 WAT).
Current form
Adelaide City, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over West Adelaide, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sturt Lions, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FK Beograd, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Sturt Lions 1–0 Adelaide City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Adelaide City 2.1 xG, Sturt Lions 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Adelaide City 60%, draw 23%, Sturt Lions 18%.
Lower-risk option: Adelaide City or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Adelaide City or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adelaide City 2–1 Sturt Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Adelaide City60%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.60
Sturt Lions18%fair 5.65 · @4.20
3.11Expected goals
2.09Adelaide City xG
1.01Sturt Lions xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Adelaide City 2.1 – 1.0 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?
Our pick is Adelaide City or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?
On our numbers Adelaide City have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sturt Lions 18%.
How many goals will there be in Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?
Our predicted score is Adelaide City 2–1 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?
Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Adelaide City Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Adelaide City Park
