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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

MetroStars v Sturt Lions: numbers & prediction

South Australia NPL · Australia · TK Shutter Reserve

MetroStars

WWWDW
1–0
FT

Sturt Lions

LWLLL
MetroStars 64%Draw 20%Sturt Lions 16% Expected goals 2.20 – 1.03
64%
Betarazi pick

MetroStars to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultMetroStars to win ✓64% · @1.33
Double chanceMetroStars or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14

MetroStars vs Sturt Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:45 WAT, Saturday 13 June: MetroStars v Sturt Lions in the South Australia NPL, played at TK Shutter Reserve.

Current form

MetroStars, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FK Beograd, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Sturt Lions, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Adelaide City, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours MetroStars, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Sturt Lions.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Sturt Lions 0–1 MetroStars.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give MetroStars 2.2 xG, Sturt Lions 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – MetroStars 64%, draw 20%, Sturt Lions 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was MetroStars to win (64%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: MetroStars 2–1 Sturt Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

MetroStars64%fair 1.57 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.80
Sturt Lions16%fair 6.28 · @6.50
3.23Expected goals
2.20MetroStars xG
1.03Sturt Lions xG
53%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: MetroStars 2.2 – 1.0 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMetroStars to win ✓64%1.571.33
Double chanceMetroStars or draw ✓84%1.191.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Draw no betMetroStars (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapMetroStars -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.821.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreMetroStars to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultMetroStars ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT MetroStars / FT MetroStars ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

MetroStars – last 6

WWWDWD
6 Jun@ FK Beograd2–1W
30 Mayvs Campbelltown City4–0W
23 May@ Croydon Kings3–2W
16 Mayvs Adelaide Comets0–0D
9 May@ Adelaide United II6–1W
2 May@ West Adelaide3–3D
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sturt Lions – last 6

LWLLLL
5 Jun@ Adelaide City1–4L
30 Mayvs FK Beograd2–1W
23 May@ Campbelltown City0–2L
16 Mayvs Croydon Kings0–2L
8 May@ Adelaide Comets1–2L
2 Mayvs Adelaide United II2–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Sturt Lions v MetroStars0–1
MetroStars vs Sturt Lions head-to-head page →

More South Australia NPL predictions

FT Para Hills Knights1 FK Beograd5 110%10.75X16%5.80274%1.17 1.1–2.9xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 57%@1.55 ✓
FT Adelaide United II0 Adelaide City0 131%2.75X23%3.65245%2.05 1.3–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.65 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?

Our pick is MetroStars to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?

On our numbers MetroStars have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sturt Lions 16%.

How many goals will there be in MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?

Our predicted score is MetroStars 2–1 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?

MetroStars vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 08:45 (West Africa Time) at TK Shutter Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.