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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sturt Lions v Para Hills Knights: numbers & prediction

South Australia NPL · Australia · Karinya Reserve

Sturt Lions

LLWLL
6–0
FT

Para Hills Knights

LLLLL
Sturt Lions 75%Draw 15%Para Hills Knights 10% Expected goals 3.23 – 1.07
75%
Betarazi pick

Sturt Lions to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSturt Lions to win ✓75% · @1.25
Double chanceSturt Lions or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27

Sturt Lions vs Para Hills Knights: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Para Hills Knights travel to face Sturt Lions on Saturday 20 June in the South Australia NPL, with Karinya Reserve the venue – the ball rolls at 06:30 WAT.

Current form

Sturt Lions, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to MetroStars, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Para Hills Knights, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to FK Beograd, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Para Hills Knights 0–5 Sturt Lions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sturt Lions 3.2 xG, Para Hills Knights 1.1 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sturt Lions 75%, draw 15%, Para Hills Knights 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sturt Lions to win (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturt Lions 3–1 Para Hills Knights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sturt Lions75%fair 1.34 · @1.25
Draw15%fair 6.47 · @5.00
Para Hills Knights10%fair 10.15 · @8.00
4.31Expected goals
3.23Sturt Lions xG
1.07Para Hills Knights xG
64%Both score
80%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
3–08%
2–18%
2–07%
4–17%
4–06%

From our goals model: Sturt Lions 3.2 – 1.1 Para Hills Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSturt Lions to win ✓75%1.341.25
Double chanceSturt Lions or draw ✓90%1.111.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.53
Draw no betSturt Lions (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapSturt Lions -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
First team to scoreSturt Lions to score first ✓74%1.35–
Half-time resultSturt Lions ahead at half-time ✓61%1.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sturt Lions / FT Sturt Lions ✓57%1.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.27–

Recent results

Sturt Lions – last 6

LLWLLL
13 Jun@ MetroStars0–1L
5 Jun@ Adelaide City1–4L
30 Mayvs FK Beograd2–1W
23 May@ Campbelltown City0–2L
16 Mayvs Croydon Kings0–2L
8 May@ Adelaide Comets1–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Para Hills Knights – last 6

LLLLLD
13 Junvs FK Beograd1–5L
6 Jun@ Campbelltown City0–3L
30 Mayvs Croydon Kings1–5L
23 May@ Adelaide Comets0–4L
16 Mayvs Adelaide United II0–2L
9 Mayvs West Adelaide1–1D
0.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Para Hills Knights v Sturt Lions0–5
Sturt Lions vs Para Hills Knights head-to-head page →

More South Australia NPL predictions

FT Adelaide United II1 Adelaide Comets1 153%1.80X24%3.70224%3.40 1.7–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.65 ✓
FT Playford City Patriots4 Campbelltown City1 144%2.15X23%3.75234%2.60 1.8–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 54%@1.80 ✗
FT FK Beograd2 West Torrens Birkalla0 133%2.38X23%3.40243%2.50 1.4–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.36 ✗
FT Adelaide City3 MetroStars0 136%2.80X24%3.55240%2.10 1.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 59%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sturt Lions vs Para Hills Knights?

Our pick is Sturt Lions to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sturt Lions vs Para Hills Knights?

On our numbers Sturt Lions have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Para Hills Knights 10%.

How many goals will there be in Sturt Lions vs Para Hills Knights?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sturt Lions vs Para Hills Knights?

Our predicted score is Sturt Lions 3–1 Para Hills Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Sturt Lions vs Para Hills Knights?

Sturt Lions vs Para Hills Knights (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Karinya Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.