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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sturt Lions v Playford City Patriots: numbers & prediction

South Australia NPL · Australia · Karinya Reserve

Sturt Lions

LWLLW
1–0
FT

Playford City Patriots

LWLDD
Sturt Lions 37%Draw 23%Playford City Patriots 39% Expected goals 1.64 – 1.61
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultPlayford City Patriots to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.15

Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sturt Lions welcome Playford City Patriots to Karinya Reserve for a South Australia NPL fixture on Saturday 4 July (06:30 WAT).

Current form

Sturt Lions, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to West Torrens Birkalla, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Playford City Patriots, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FK Beograd, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Playford City Patriots 2–1 Sturt Lions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sturt Lions 1.6 xG, Playford City Patriots 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sturt Lions 37%, draw 23%, Playford City Patriots 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturt Lions 1–1 Playford City Patriots. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sturt Lions37%fair 2.67 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.70
Playford City Patriots39%fair 2.54 · @2.20
3.25Expected goals
1.64Sturt Lions xG
1.61Playford City Patriots xG
69%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Sturt Lions 1.6 – 1.6 Playford City Patriots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlayford City Patriots to win ✗39%2.542.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗69%1.461.30
Draw no betPlayford City Patriots (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapPlayford City Patriots +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreSturt Lions to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sturt Lions / FT Sturt Lions ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.15–

Recent results

Sturt Lions – last 6

LWLLWL
26 Jun@ West Torrens Birkalla1–4L
20 Junvs Para Hills Knights6–0W
13 Jun@ MetroStars0–1L
5 Jun@ Adelaide City1–4L
30 Mayvs FK Beograd2–1W
23 May@ Campbelltown City0–2L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Playford City Patriots – last 6

LWLDDL
27 Junvs FK Beograd0–1L
20 Junvs Campbelltown City4–1W
13 Jun@ Croydon Kings1–4L
6 Junvs Adelaide Comets2–2D
30 May@ Adelaide United II0–0D
23 Mayvs West Adelaide1–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Playford City Patriots v Sturt Lions2–1
Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots head-to-head page →

More South Australia NPL predictions

FT Adelaide City2 Para Hills Knights0 190%1.03X7%17.0023%51.00 4.0–0.7xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.50 ✗
FT Adelaide United II0 Campbelltown City0 141%2.30X24%3.50235%2.50 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.35 ✗
FT FK Beograd1 West Adelaide0 152%1.73X23%3.70225%3.90 2.0–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.40 ✗
FT MetroStars3 West Torrens Birkalla1 154%1.62X22%3.80224%4.40 1.9–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?

On our numbers Sturt Lions have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Playford City Patriots 39%.

How many goals will there be in Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?

Our predicted score is Sturt Lions 1–1 Playford City Patriots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?

Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Karinya Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.