Adelaide United II 44%Draw 24%Sturt Lions 32%Expected goals 1.57 – 1.26
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultAdelaide United II to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:30 WAT, Saturday 25 July: Adelaide United II v Sturt Lions in the South Australia NPL.
Current form
Adelaide United II, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FK Beograd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sturt Lions, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with West Adelaide, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Sturt Lions 2–3 Adelaide United II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Adelaide United II 1.6 xG, Sturt Lions 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Adelaide United II 44%, draw 24%, Sturt Lions 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adelaide United II 1–1 Sturt Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Adelaide United II44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.70
Sturt Lions32%fair 3.11 · @2.85
2.82Expected goals
1.57Adelaide United II xG
1.26Sturt Lions xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–17%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Adelaide United II 1.6 – 1.3 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?
On our numbers Adelaide United II have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sturt Lions 32%.
How many goals will there be in Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?
Our predicted score is Adelaide United II 1–1 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?
Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia
Adelaide City1
West Torrens Birkalla0
Adelaide Comets1
FK Beograd0
Para Hills Knights2
Playford City Patriots4
MetroStars1
West Adelaide3