Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultSturt Lions to win ✗52% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 21.67
Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sturt Lions welcome Adelaide Comets to Karinya Reserve for a South Australia NPL fixture on Tuesday 11 August (11:30 WAT).
Current form
Sturt Lions, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Croydon Kings, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Adelaide Comets, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to MetroStars, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sturt Lions, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Adelaide Comets.
Head to head
When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Adelaide Comets 2–1 Sturt Lions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sturt Lions 1.7 xG, Adelaide Comets 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sturt Lions 52%, draw 22%, Adelaide Comets 26%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturt Lions 1–1 Adelaide Comets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sturt Lions52%fair 1.92 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.65
Adelaide Comets26%fair 3.81 · @3.45
2.84Expected goals
1.68Sturt Lions xG
1.16Adelaide Comets xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sturt Lions 1.7 – 1.2 Adelaide Comets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
On our numbers Sturt Lions have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Adelaide Comets 26%.
How many goals will there be in Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
Our predicted score is Sturt Lions 1–1 Adelaide Comets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Karinya Reserve.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Karinya Reserve
