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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sturt Lions v Campbelltown City: numbers & prediction

South Australia NPL · Australia · Karinya Reserve
1–3
FT
Sturt Lions 41%Draw 20%Campbelltown City 39% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.56
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Campbelltown City to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSturt Lions to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75

Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sturt Lions welcome Campbelltown City to Karinya Reserve for a South Australia NPL fixture on Saturday 15 August (10:30 WAT).

Current form

Sturt Lions, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Adelaide Comets, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Campbelltown City, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FK Beograd, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Campbelltown City 2–0 Sturt Lions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sturt Lions 1.6 xG, Campbelltown City 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sturt Lions 41%, draw 20%, Campbelltown City 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Campbelltown City to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturt Lions 1–1 Campbelltown City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sturt Lions41%fair 2.42 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Campbelltown City39%fair 2.59 · @2.80
3.19Expected goals
1.63Sturt Lions xG
1.56Campbelltown City xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Sturt Lions 1.6 – 1.6 Campbelltown City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSturt Lions to win ✗41%2.422.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.40
Draw no betSturt Lions (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapCampbelltown City +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreSturt Lions to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sturt Lions / FT Sturt Lions ✗24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.75–

Recent results

Sturt Lions – last 6

DDWDWL
11 Augvs Adelaide Comets0–0D
8 Aug@ Croydon Kings1–1D
25 Jul@ Adelaide United II3–2W
18 Jul@ West Adelaide0–0D
4 Julvs Playford City Patriots1–0W
26 Jun@ West Torrens Birkalla1–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Campbelltown City – last 6

WLDWDD
7 Augvs FK Beograd2–0W
31 Julvs Adelaide City0–4L
25 Jul@ Croydon Kings2–2D
17 Julvs Adelaide Comets1–0W
4 Jul@ Adelaide United II0–0D
27 Junvs West Adelaide0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Campbelltown City v Sturt Lions2–0
Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City head-to-head page →

More South Australia NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City?

On our numbers Sturt Lions have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Campbelltown City 39%.

How many goals will there be in Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City?

Our predicted score is Sturt Lions 1–1 Campbelltown City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City?

Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Karinya Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.