Value bet: Mashuk-KMV to win @ 3.24 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMashuk-KMV to win ✗38% · @3.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.26
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leningradets travel to face Mashuk-KMV on Sunday 29 March in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, with Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Mashuk-KMV, last 4: DDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Torpedo Miass, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Leningradets, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Novosibirsk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Leningradets, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Mashuk-KMV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mashuk-KMV 1.3 xG, Leningradets 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mashuk-KMV 38%, draw 27%, Leningradets 35%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Mashuk-KMV to win @3.24 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mashuk-KMV 1–0 Leningradets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mashuk-KMV38%fair 2.61 · @3.24
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.18
Leningradets35%fair 2.86 · @2.04
2.27Expected goals
1.27Mashuk-KMV xG
1.00Leningradets xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mashuk-KMV 1.3 – 1.0 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mashuk-KMV to win✗
38%
2.61
3.24 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.26
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.83
Draw no bet
Mashuk-KMV (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Leningradets +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Mashuk-KMV to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mashuk-KMV / FT Mashuk-KMV✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.61
–
Recent results
Mashuk-KMV – last 4
DDDD
22 Mar
@ Torpedo Miass
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Tekstilshchik
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Volgar Astrakhan
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Kaluga
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leningradets – last 4
WWDW
22 Mar
vs Novosibirsk
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Irtysh Omsk
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva II
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Veles
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mashuk-KMV and Leningradets.
What is the prediction for Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets?
On our numbers Mashuk-KMV have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Leningradets 35%.
How many goals will there be in Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets?
Our predicted score is Mashuk-KMV 1–0 Leningradets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets?
Mashuk-KMV vs Leningradets (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Veles4
Irtysh Omsk0
Torpedo Miass2
Tekstilshchik1