Kaluga v Rodina Moskva II Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultRodina Moskva II to win ✗41% · @2.08

Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.26

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.47

Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Wednesday 8 April: Kaluga v Rodina Moskva II in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Orbita stadium. In the table, Kaluga are 10th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 17 matches; Rodina Moskva II are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kaluga, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leningradets, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Rodina Moskva II, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mashuk-KMV, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kaluga 1.1 xG, Rodina Moskva II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Kaluga 33%, draw 26%, Rodina Moskva II 41%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaluga 1–1 Rodina Moskva II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kaluga33%fair 3.07 · @3.14

Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.20

Rodina Moskva II41%fair 2.41 · @2.08

2.30Expected goals

1.09Kaluga xG

1.21Rodina Moskva II xG

54%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–011%

0–010%

1–28%

0–27%

From our goals model: Kaluga 1.1 – 1.2 Rodina Moskva II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Rodina Moskva II to win ✗	41%	2.41	2.08
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	74%	1.35	1.26
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.87	1.90
Draw no bet	Rodina Moskva II (draw no bet)	56%	1.79	–
Asian handicap	Kaluga +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	–
First team to score	Rodina Moskva II to score first ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.16	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Rodina Moskva II / FT Rodina Moskva II ✗	22%	4.50	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.47	–

Kaluga – last 6

LLLWLD

4 Apr	@ Leningradets	0–1	L
29 Mar	vs Torpedo Miass	0–2	L
22 Mar	@ Tekstilshchik	1–4	L
15 Mar	@ Volgar Astrakhan	3–0	W
8 Mar	@ Veles	0–1	L
1 Mar	@ Mashuk-KMV	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Rodina Moskva II – last 6

DLLDDW

4 Apr	vs Mashuk-KMV	0–0	D
29 Mar	@ Novosibirsk	0–1	L
22 Mar	vs Irtysh Omsk	1–2	L
15 Mar	vs Veles	0–0	D
8 Mar	@ Leningradets	0–0	D
1 Mar	vs Torpedo Miass	2–1	W

0.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Kirov	17	10	4	3	+12	34
2	Rodina Moskva II	17	9	4	4	+8	31
3	Dinamo Vladivostok	17	6	6	5	+5	24
4	Alaniya Vladikavkaz	17	5	8	4	+3	23
5	Novosibirsk	17	5	7	5	-2	22
6	Mashuk-KMV	17	3	12	2	+3	21
7	FK Sokol Saratov	17	4	7	6	-6	19
8	Dinamo Bryansk	17	5	4	8	-10	19
9	Volgar Astrakhan	17	1	12	4	-4	15
10	Kaluga	17	1	8	8	-9	11

Team

Pts

+12

-2

-6

-10

-4

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?

On our numbers Kaluga have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rodina Moskva II 41%.

How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?

Our predicted score is Kaluga 1–1 Rodina Moskva II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?

Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Orbita stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Kaluga v Rodina Moskva II: numbers & prediction