Kaluga vs Novosibirsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Kaluga v Novosibirsk in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Orbita stadium. In the table, Kaluga are 10th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 17 matches; Novosibirsk are 5th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Kaluga, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Irtysh Omsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Novosibirsk, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mashuk-KMV, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Novosibirsk, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Kaluga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kaluga 1.2 xG, Novosibirsk 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kaluga 34%, draw 26%, Novosibirsk 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.66.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaluga 1–1 Novosibirsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kaluga34%fair 2.96 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.28
Novosibirsk40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
2.55Expected goals
1.24Kaluga xG
1.31Novosibirsk xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kaluga 1.2 – 1.3 Novosibirsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novosibirsk to win✓
40%
2.48
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.66
Draw no bet
Novosibirsk (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Kaluga +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.29
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Novosibirsk to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novosibirsk / FT Novosibirsk✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.02
–
Recent results
Kaluga – last 6
WDLLLW
12 Apr
@ Irtysh Omsk
1–0
W
8 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva II
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Leningradets
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Torpedo Miass
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Tekstilshchik
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Volgar Astrakhan
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Novosibirsk – last 6
DLWWLW
12 Apr
vs Mashuk-KMV
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Veles
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Irtysh Omsk
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva II
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Leningradets
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Torpedo Miass
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaluga and Novosibirsk.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Novosibirsk 40%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 1–1 Novosibirsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
Kaluga vs Novosibirsk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Orbita stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Torpedo Miass0
Leningradets1
Veles2
Tekstilshchik2
Irtysh Omsk0