Value bet: Rodina Moskva II to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovosibirsk to win ✗37% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.65
Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rodina Moskva II welcome Novosibirsk to Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina for a Second League A Fall Season Gold fixture on Sunday 17 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Rodina Moskva II are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 17 matches; Novosibirsk are 5th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Rodina Moskva II, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Irtysh Omsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Novosibirsk, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Leningradets, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Novosibirsk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Rodina Moskva II.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Novosibirsk 1–0 Rodina Moskva II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva II 1.4 xG, Novosibirsk 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva II 36%, draw 27%, Novosibirsk 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.68.
Price worth noting: Rodina Moskva II to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Novosibirsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodina Moskva II36%fair 2.77 · @2.95
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.80
Novosibirsk37%fair 2.72 · @2.40
2.72Expected goals
1.42Rodina Moskva II xG
1.30Novosibirsk xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 1.4 – 1.3 Novosibirsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Novosibirsk 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Novosibirsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leningradets0
Torpedo Miass0
Irtysh Omsk0
Veles0
Tekstilshchik1