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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rodina Moskva II v Kaluga: numbers & prediction

Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina

Rodina Moskva II

DDDWL
1–2
FT

Kaluga

LDLDW
Rodina Moskva II 43%Draw 28%Kaluga 29% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.07
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds

Picks by market

ResultRodina Moskva II to win ✗43% · @2.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09

Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Wednesday 27 May: Rodina Moskva II v Kaluga in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina. In the table, Rodina Moskva II are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 17 matches; Kaluga are 10th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Rodina Moskva II, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mashuk-KMV, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Kaluga, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leningradets, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Kaluga 1–1 Rodina Moskva II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva II 1.4 xG, Kaluga 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva II 43%, draw 28%, Kaluga 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.74.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Kaluga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rodina Moskva II43%fair 2.34 · @2.43
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.73
Kaluga29%fair 3.40 · @2.98
2.51Expected goals
1.44Rodina Moskva II xG
1.07Kaluga xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 1.4 – 1.1 Kaluga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRodina Moskva II to win ✗43%2.342.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.74
Draw no betRodina Moskva II (draw no bet) ✗59%1.69–
Asian handicapKaluga +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.23
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreRodina Moskva II to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rodina Moskva II / FT Rodina Moskva II ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.09–

Recent results

Rodina Moskva II – last 6

DDDWLL
23 May@ Mashuk-KMV2–2D
17 Mayvs Novosibirsk1–1D
10 May@ Irtysh Omsk2–2D
3 May@ Veles1–0W
26 Aprvs Leningradets3–4L
19 Apr@ Tekstilshchik1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kaluga – last 6

LDLDWL
23 Mayvs Leningradets0–1L
17 May@ Torpedo Miass0–0D
10 Mayvs Tekstilshchik0–2L
3 Mayvs Volgar Astrakhan3–3D
26 Aprvs Veles1–0W
19 Aprvs Novosibirsk1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Apr 2026Kaluga v Rodina Moskva II1–1
Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga head-to-head page →

Second League A Fall Season Gold table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Kirov171043+1234
2Rodina Moskva II17944+831
3Dinamo Vladivostok17665+524
4Alaniya Vladikavkaz17584+323
5Novosibirsk17575-222
6Mashuk-KMV173122+321
7FK Sokol Saratov17476-619
8Dinamo Bryansk17548-1019
9Volgar Astrakhan171124-415
10Kaluga17188-911

More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions

League hub
FT Torpedo Miass0 Tekstilshchik1 137%3.05X28%2.82235%2.32 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Novosibirsk1 Veles0 146%1.90X28%2.99226%3.96 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.34 ✓
FT Irtysh Omsk0 Mashuk-KMV2 122%3.84X27%2.84251%2.00 0.8–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.26 ✓
FT Leningradets0 Volgar Astrakhan1 150%1.70X27%3.24223%4.65 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?

On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Kaluga 29%.

How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?

Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Kaluga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?

Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.