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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mashuk-KMV v Novosibirsk: numbers & prediction

Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Central Stadium
2–0
FT
Mashuk-KMV 40%Draw 26%Novosibirsk 34% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.07
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Mashuk-KMV to win @ 2.66 – our chance 40% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMashuk-KMV to win ✓40% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mashuk-KMV welcome Novosibirsk to Central Stadium for a Second League A Fall Season Gold fixture on Sunday 31 May (13:00 WAT). In the table, Mashuk-KMV are 6th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Novosibirsk are 5th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Mashuk-KMV, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Irtysh Omsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Novosibirsk, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Veles, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Novosibirsk 2–2 Mashuk-KMV.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mashuk-KMV 1.3 xG, Novosibirsk 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mashuk-KMV 40%, draw 26%, Novosibirsk 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.66.
  • Price worth noting: Mashuk-KMV to win @2.66 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mashuk-KMV 1–1 Novosibirsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mashuk-KMV40%fair 2.48 · @2.66
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.34
Novosibirsk34%fair 2.96 · @2.29
2.39Expected goals
1.33Mashuk-KMV xG
1.07Novosibirsk xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Mashuk-KMV 1.3 – 1.1 Novosibirsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMashuk-KMV to win ✓40%2.482.66 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.66
Draw no betMashuk-KMV (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapNovosibirsk +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreMashuk-KMV to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mashuk-KMV / FT Mashuk-KMV ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

Mashuk-KMV – last 6

WDWDDW
27 May@ Irtysh Omsk2–0W
23 Mayvs Rodina Moskva II2–2D
17 May@ Leningradets5–0W
10 Mayvs Torpedo Miass0–0D
3 May@ Tekstilshchik1–1D
26 Aprvs Volgar Astrakhan2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Novosibirsk – last 6

WWDWDW
27 Mayvs Veles1–0W
23 Mayvs Irtysh Omsk4–0W
17 May@ Rodina Moskva II1–1D
10 Mayvs Leningradets4–1W
3 May@ Torpedo Miass1–1D
26 Aprvs Tekstilshchik1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Novosibirsk v Mashuk-KMV2–2
Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk head-to-head page →

Second League A Fall Season Gold table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Kirov171043+1234
2Rodina Moskva II17944+831
3Dinamo Vladivostok17665+524
4Alaniya Vladikavkaz17584+323
5Novosibirsk17575-222
6Mashuk-KMV173122+321
7FK Sokol Saratov17476-619
8Dinamo Bryansk17548-1019
9Volgar Astrakhan171124-415
10Kaluga17188-911

More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?

On our numbers Mashuk-KMV have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Novosibirsk 34%.

How many goals will there be in Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?

Our predicted score is Mashuk-KMV 1–1 Novosibirsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?

Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.