Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovosibirsk to win ✓61% · @1.35
Double chanceNovosibirsk or draw ✓85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Novosibirsk vs Kaluga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Novosibirsk welcome Kaluga to Stadion Spartak for a Second League A Fall Season Gold fixture on Sunday 7 June (10:00 WAT). In the table, Novosibirsk are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Kaluga are 10th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Novosibirsk, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mashuk-KMV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Kaluga, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Irtysh Omsk, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Novosibirsk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Kaluga.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Kaluga 1–2 Novosibirsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novosibirsk 1.7 xG, Kaluga 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novosibirsk 61%, draw 24%, Kaluga 15%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novosibirsk 1–0 Kaluga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novosibirsk61%fair 1.65 · @1.35
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.88
Kaluga15%fair 6.46 · @8.70
2.59Expected goals
1.69Novosibirsk xG
0.90Kaluga xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.7 – 0.9 Kaluga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Kaluga?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kaluga 15%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Kaluga?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novosibirsk vs Kaluga?
Our predicted score is Novosibirsk 1–0 Kaluga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Novosibirsk vs Kaluga?
Novosibirsk vs Kaluga (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Irtysh Omsk1
Leningradets3
Torpedo Miass1
Veles0
Tekstilshchik2