Value bet: Okzhetpes to win @ 2.95 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOkzhetpes to win ✓39% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 March: Kaspiy v Okzhetpes in the Premier League, played at Zhestar Stadium. In the table, Kaspiy are 11th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; Okzhetpes are 4th (among the top four) with 54. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kaspiy 1.3 xG, Okzhetpes 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kaspiy 36%, draw 25%, Okzhetpes 39%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Okzhetpes to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaspiy 1–1 Okzhetpes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kaspiy36%fair 2.78 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.20
Okzhetpes39%fair 2.55 · @2.95
2.73Expected goals
1.25Kaspiy xG
1.48Okzhetpes xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Kaspiy 1.3 – 1.5 Okzhetpes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Okzhetpes to win✓
39%
2.55
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Okzhetpes (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Kaspiy +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Okzhetpes to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Okzhetpes / FT Okzhetpes✓
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Kaspiy – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Okzhetpes – last 1
D
7 Mar
vs Yelimay Semey
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaspiy and Okzhetpes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes?
On our numbers Kaspiy have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Okzhetpes 39%.
How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes?
Our predicted score is Kaspiy 1–1 Okzhetpes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes?
Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
