FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 20 March: FC Astana v FK Tobol Kostanay in the Premier League, played at Astana Arena. In the table, FC Astana are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th (upper half) with 41. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Astana 1.9 xG, FK Tobol Kostanay 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Astana 56%, draw 24%, FK Tobol Kostanay 20%.
Lower-risk option: FC Astana or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Astana 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Astana56%fair 1.78 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.70
FK Tobol Kostanay20%fair 4.98 · @4.33
3.03Expected goals
1.89FC Astana xG
1.14FK Tobol Kostanay xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: FC Astana 1.9 – 1.1 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Astana to win✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Double chance
FC Astana or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.70
Draw no bet
FC Astana (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
FK Tobol Kostanay +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
FC Astana to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
FC Astana ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Astana / FT FC Astana✓
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
FC Astana – last 2
DW
16 Mar
@ Kaisar
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Zhetysu
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Tobol Kostanay – last 2
DL
16 Mar
vs Zhetysu
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Aktobe
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Astana and FK Tobol Kostanay.
What is the prediction for FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
On our numbers FC Astana have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Tobol Kostanay 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our predicted score is FC Astana 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
