Value bet: Aktobe to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAktobe to win45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.60
Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Yelimay Semey travel to face Aktobe on Saturday 21 March in the Premier League, with Turkestan Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Aktobe are 5th, upper half, on 49 points after 30 matches; Yelimay Semey are 6th (upper half) with 45.
Current form
Aktobe, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kairat Almaty, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aktobe 1.7 xG, Yelimay Semey 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aktobe 45%, draw 24%, Yelimay Semey 32%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Aktobe to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aktobe 1–1 Yelimay Semey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aktobe45%fair 2.24 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Yelimay Semey32%fair 3.17 · @2.60
2.90Expected goals
1.67Aktobe xG
1.23Yelimay Semey xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Aktobe 1.7 – 1.2 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aktobe to win
45%
2.24
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Aktobe (draw no bet)
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Yelimay Semey +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Aktobe to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aktobe / FT Aktobe
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Aktobe – last 4
LWLL
16 Mar
@ Kairat Almaty
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
4–1
W
21 Feb
@ FC Sochi
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ FC UFA
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Yelimay Semey – last 2
DD
16 Mar
vs Altay
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Okzhetpes
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aktobe and Yelimay Semey.
What is the prediction for Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
On our numbers Aktobe have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Yelimay Semey 32%.
How many goals will there be in Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
Our predicted score is Aktobe 1–1 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?
Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
