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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aktobe v Kaisar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Koblandy Batyr Stadium

Aktobe

WLWDL
3–0
FT

Kaisar

LWDDL
Aktobe 60%Draw 23%Kaisar 17% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.85
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAktobe to win ✓60% · @1.60
Double chanceAktobe or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Aktobe vs Kaisar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kaisar travel to face Aktobe on Sunday 10 May in the Premier League, with Koblandy Batyr Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Aktobe are 5th, upper half, on 49 points after 30 matches; Kaisar are 16th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aktobe, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Yelimay Semey, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Kaisar, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kairat Almaty, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aktobe 1.8 xG, Kaisar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aktobe 60%, draw 23%, Kaisar 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aktobe 1–0 Kaisar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aktobe60%fair 1.67 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Kaisar17%fair 5.89 · @5.25
2.60Expected goals
1.76Aktobe xG
0.85Kaisar xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Aktobe 1.8 – 0.8 Kaisar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAktobe to win ✓60%1.671.60
Double chanceAktobe or draw ✓83%1.201.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.812.00 ▲
Draw no betAktobe (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapKaisar +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.871.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreAktobe to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultAktobe ahead at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aktobe / FT Aktobe ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Aktobe – last 6

WLWDLW
30 Aprvs Yelimay Semey2–1W
19 Apr@ Zhenys0–1L
9 Apr@ Arys4–0W
5 Apr@ Ulytau1–1D
16 Mar@ Kairat Almaty0–1L
7 Marvs FK Tobol Kostanay4–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kaisar – last 6

LWDDLW
6 Mayvs Kairat Almaty1–2L
29 Aprvs Kairat Almaty2–1W
25 Apr@ Okzhetpes1–1D
19 Aprvs Altay1–1D
11 Apr@ Atyrau0–2L
8 Apr@ Talas Karatau2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aktobe and Kaisar.

Aktobe vs Kaisar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aktobe vs Kaisar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Aktobe vs Kaisar?

On our numbers Aktobe have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kaisar 17%.

How many goals will there be in Aktobe vs Kaisar?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aktobe vs Kaisar?

Our predicted score is Aktobe 1–0 Kaisar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Aktobe vs Kaisar?

Aktobe vs Kaisar (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Koblandy Batyr Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.