Kaspiy welcome Irtysh to Zhestar Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Friday 22 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Kaspiy are 11th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; Irtysh are 12th (lower half) with 32. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kaspiy, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ordabasy, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Irtysh, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kairat Almaty, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kaspiy 1.4 xG, Irtysh 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kaspiy 44%, draw 26%, Irtysh 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaspiy 1–1 Irtysh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kaspiy44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.20
Irtysh30%fair 3.29 · @3.00
2.46Expected goals
1.37Kaspiy xG
1.08Irtysh xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Kaspiy 1.4 – 1.1 Irtysh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kaspiy to win✗
44%
2.28
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Kaspiy (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Irtysh +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Kaspiy to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kaspiy / FT Kaspiy✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Kaspiy – last 6
LLWLDL
30 Apr
@ Ordabasy
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Ekibastuz
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Altay
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Okzhetpes
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Irtysh – last 6
LLLLWD
2 May
vs Kairat Almaty
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
1–2
L
18 Apr
vs Zhetysu
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Okzhetpes
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Altay
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaspiy and Irtysh.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kaspiy vs Irtysh?
On our numbers Kaspiy have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Irtysh 30%.
How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs Irtysh?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs Irtysh?
Our predicted score is Kaspiy 1–1 Irtysh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kaspiy vs Irtysh?
Kaspiy vs Irtysh (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
