FK Tobol Kostanay 52%Draw 26%Kyzyl-Zhar 22%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.95
78%
Betarazi pick
FK Tobol Kostanay or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✓52% · @1.91
Double chanceFK Tobol Kostanay or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kyzyl-Zhar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 13 June the Premier League brings FK Tobol Kostanay against Kyzyl-Zhar at Centralnyj Stadion. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Kyzyl-Zhar are 10th (lower half) with 33.
Current form
FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atyrau, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Kyzyl-Zhar, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Zhetysu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Tobol Kostanay 1.6 xG, Kyzyl-Zhar 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Tobol Kostanay 52%, draw 26%, Kyzyl-Zhar 22%.
Lower-risk option: FK Tobol Kostanay or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FK Tobol Kostanay or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Tobol Kostanay52%fair 1.93 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Kyzyl-Zhar22%fair 4.60 · @3.80
2.51Expected goals
1.56FK Tobol Kostanay xG
0.95Kyzyl-Zhar xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 1.6 – 1.0 Kyzyl-Zhar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Tobol Kostanay to win✓
52%
1.93
1.91
Double chance
FK Tobol Kostanay or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
FK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Kyzyl-Zhar +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
FK Tobol Kostanay to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6
DLLLWW
28 May
@ Atyrau
1–1
D
23 May
vs Ordabasy
0–3
L
17 May
@ Kaisar
1–2
L
3 May
@ Zhenys
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ FC Astana
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Kaspiy
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kyzyl-Zhar – last 6
WDLLLW
28 May
vs Zhetysu
3–2
W
23 May
@ Aktobe
0–0
D
17 May
vs Altay
1–2
L
13 May
@ Zhenys
0–2
L
2 May
vs Okzhetpes
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Irtysh
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Tobol Kostanay and Kyzyl-Zhar.
What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Our pick is FK Tobol Kostanay or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kyzyl-Zhar 22%.
How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kyzyl-Zhar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
