Value bet: Ordabasy to win @ 2.38 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOrdabasy to win ✓47% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ordabasy travel to face Yelimay Semey on Sunday 14 June in the Premier League, with Stadion Spartak the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Yelimay Semey are 6th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Ordabasy are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Yelimay Semey, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Kaisar, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Ordabasy, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kairat Almaty, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ordabasy, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Yelimay Semey.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yelimay Semey 1.1 xG, Ordabasy 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yelimay Semey 29%, draw 24%, Ordabasy 47%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Ordabasy to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yelimay Semey 1–1 Ordabasy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yelimay Semey29%fair 3.46 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.30
Ordabasy47%fair 2.11 · @2.38
2.82Expected goals
1.12Yelimay Semey xG
1.70Ordabasy xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Yelimay Semey 1.1 – 1.7 Ordabasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✓
47%
2.11
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
Ordabasy (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Yelimay Semey +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Ordabasy to score first✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✓
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Yelimay Semey – last 6
WWLLDW
28 May
@ Kaisar
3–2
W
23 May
vs Zhenys
2–1
W
3 May
@ Ulytau
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Aktobe
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Kairat Almaty
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Turan Turkistan
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ordabasy – last 6
WWWWDW
28 May
vs Kairat Almaty
2–1
W
23 May
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
3–0
W
17 May
vs Zhetysu
2–1
W
13 May
vs Zhetysu
1–0
W
10 May
@ Altay
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Kaspiy
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yelimay Semey and Ordabasy.
What is the prediction for Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy?
On our numbers Yelimay Semey have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ordabasy 47%.
How many goals will there be in Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy?
Our predicted score is Yelimay Semey 1–1 Ordabasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy?
Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
