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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ordabasy v Kaspiy: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov
2–0
FT

Kaspiy

LLDLL
Ordabasy 73%Draw 17%Kaspiy 10% Expected goals 2.19 – 0.70
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.43Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.23 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOrdabasy to win ✓73% · @1.19
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓90% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.23
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74

Ordabasy vs Kaspiy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 20 June the Premier League brings Ordabasy against Kaspiy at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ordabasy are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 30 matches; Kaspiy are 11th (lower half) with 33. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ordabasy, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Yelimay Semey, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kaspiy, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kaisar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ordabasy, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Kaspiy.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Ordabasy 3–0 Kaspiy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ordabasy 2.2 xG, Kaspiy 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ordabasy 73%, draw 17%, Kaspiy 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.23.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.23 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ordabasy 2–0 Kaspiy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ordabasy73%fair 1.37 · @1.19
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @5.35
Kaspiy10%fair 9.54 · @12.25
2.88Expected goals
2.19Ordabasy xG
0.70Kaspiy xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ordabasy 2.2 – 0.7 Kaspiy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrdabasy to win ✓73%1.371.19
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓90%1.12–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.872.23 ▲
Draw no betOrdabasy (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapOrdabasy -1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.43
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.14
First team to scoreOrdabasy to score first ✓72%1.40–
Half-time resultOrdabasy ahead at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy ✓47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.74–

Recent results

Ordabasy – last 6

WWWWWD
14 Jun@ Yelimay Semey3–1W
28 Mayvs Kairat Almaty2–1W
23 May@ FK Tobol Kostanay3–0W
17 Mayvs Zhetysu2–1W
13 Mayvs Zhetysu1–0W
10 May@ Altay0–0D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kaspiy – last 6

LLDLLW
14 Junvs Kaisar1–2L
28 May@ Zhenys0–1L
22 Mayvs Irtysh2–2D
30 Apr@ Ordabasy0–3L
26 Apr@ FK Tobol Kostanay1–2L
9 Apr@ Ekibastuz4–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Ordabasy v Kaspiy3–0
Ordabasy vs Kaspiy head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?

On our numbers Ordabasy have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Kaspiy 10%.

How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?

Our predicted score is Ordabasy 2–0 Kaspiy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ordabasy vs Kaspiy?

Ordabasy vs Kaspiy (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.