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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kairat Almaty v Kyzyl-Zhar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Almaty Central Stadium
3–0
FT
Kairat Almaty 65%Draw 22%Kyzyl-Zhar 13% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.71
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKairat Almaty to win ✓65% · @1.35
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75

Kairat Almaty vs Kyzyl-Zhar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Wednesday 17 June: Kairat Almaty v Kyzyl-Zhar in the Premier League, played at Almaty Central Stadium. In the table, Kairat Almaty are 2nd, among the top four, on 65 points after 30 matches; Kyzyl-Zhar are 10th (lower half) with 33. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kairat Almaty, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atyrau, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Kyzyl-Zhar, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FK Tobol Kostanay, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Kairat Almaty, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kairat Almaty 1.8 xG, Kyzyl-Zhar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kairat Almaty 65%, draw 22%, Kyzyl-Zhar 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kairat Almaty 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kairat Almaty65%fair 1.53 · @1.35
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.33
Kyzyl-Zhar13%fair 7.98 · @8.00
2.47Expected goals
1.76Kairat Almaty xG
0.71Kyzyl-Zhar xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Kairat Almaty 1.8 – 0.7 Kyzyl-Zhar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKairat Almaty to win ✓65%1.531.35
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓87%1.141.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.972.15 ▲
Draw no betKairat Almaty (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapKairat Almaty -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreKairat Almaty to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultKairat Almaty ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.75–

Recent results

Kairat Almaty – last 6

DLDWDW
13 Junvs Atyrau1–1D
28 May@ Ordabasy1–2L
23 Mayvs Kaisar0–0D
17 May@ Zhenys2–1W
10 May@ Ulytau1–1D
6 May@ Kaisar2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kyzyl-Zhar – last 6

LWDLLL
13 Jun@ FK Tobol Kostanay0–2L
28 Mayvs Zhetysu3–2W
23 May@ Aktobe0–0D
17 Mayvs Altay1–2L
13 May@ Zhenys0–2L
2 Mayvs Okzhetpes0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kairat Almaty and Kyzyl-Zhar.

Kairat Almaty vs Kyzyl-Zhar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

On our numbers Kairat Almaty have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kyzyl-Zhar 13%.

How many goals will there be in Kairat Almaty vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Our predicted score is Kairat Almaty 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Kairat Almaty vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Kairat Almaty vs Kyzyl-Zhar (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Almaty Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.