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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kaspiy v Ordabasy: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Zhestar Stadium

Kaspiy

WWLLL
3–2
FT
Kaspiy 14%Draw 21%Ordabasy 65% Expected goals 0.81 – 1.88
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultOrdabasy to win ✗65% · @1.40
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✗86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Kaspiy vs Ordabasy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 11 July the Premier League brings Kaspiy against Ordabasy at Zhestar Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Kaspiy are 11th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; Ordabasy are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kaspiy, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atyrau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Ordabasy, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ulytau, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ordabasy, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Kaspiy.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Ordabasy 2–0 Kaspiy. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kaspiy 0 wins, Ordabasy 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kaspiy 0.8 xG, Ordabasy 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kaspiy 14%, draw 21%, Ordabasy 65%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaspiy 0–2 Ordabasy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kaspiy14%fair 7.10 · @7.00
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.00
Ordabasy65%fair 1.55 · @1.40
2.69Expected goals
0.81Kaspiy xG
1.88Ordabasy xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%

From our goals model: Kaspiy 0.8 – 1.9 Ordabasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrdabasy to win ✗65%1.551.40
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✗86%1.161.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.95
Draw no betOrdabasy (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapOrdabasy -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.421.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
First team to scoreOrdabasy to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultOrdabasy ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

Kaspiy – last 6

WWLLLD
5 Jul@ Atyrau2–1W
27 Junvs Atyrau2–0W
20 Jun@ Ordabasy0–2L
14 Junvs Kaisar1–2L
28 May@ Zhenys0–1L
22 Mayvs Irtysh2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ordabasy – last 6

WWWWWW
5 Julvs Ulytau1–0W
28 Jun@ Ulytau1–0W
20 Junvs Kaspiy2–0W
14 Jun@ Yelimay Semey3–1W
28 Mayvs Kairat Almaty2–1W
23 May@ FK Tobol Kostanay3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026Ordabasy v Kaspiy2–0
30 Apr 2026Ordabasy v Kaspiy3–0
Kaspiy vs Ordabasy head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kaspiy vs Ordabasy?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kaspiy vs Ordabasy?

On our numbers Kaspiy have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ordabasy 65%.

How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs Ordabasy?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs Ordabasy?

Our predicted score is Kaspiy 0–2 Ordabasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Kaspiy vs Ordabasy?

Kaspiy vs Ordabasy (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.