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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atyrau v Yelimay Semey: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Turkestan Arena

Atyrau

WLLWL
1–2
FT
Atyrau 34%Draw 22%Yelimay Semey 44% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.27
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.60Odds
1

Value bet: Atyrau to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultYelimay Semey to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.00

Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atyrau welcome Yelimay Semey to Turkestan Arena for a Premier League fixture on Wednesday 14 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Atyrau are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; Yelimay Semey are 6th (upper half) with 45. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atyrau, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zhenys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Yelimay Semey, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Aktobe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Yelimay Semey 1–2 Atyrau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atyrau 1.1 xG, Yelimay Semey 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atyrau 34%, draw 22%, Yelimay Semey 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Atyrau to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atyrau 1–1 Yelimay Semey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atyrau34%fair 2.95 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Yelimay Semey44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
2.33Expected goals
1.06Atyrau xG
1.27Yelimay Semey xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Atyrau 1.1 – 1.3 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYelimay Semey to win ✓44%2.252.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.60
Draw no betYelimay Semey (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapAtyrau +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreYelimay Semey to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yelimay Semey / FT Yelimay Semey ✓24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.00–

Recent results

Atyrau – last 6

WLLWLL
10 Oct@ Zhenys2–1W
17 Sepvs Ordabasy0–3L
12 Sep@ Kaisar0–1L
5 Sep@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–0W
30 Augvs FC Astana2–3L
16 Augvs Okzhetpes0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Yelimay Semey – last 6

LWWLLD
10 Octvs Aktobe1–3L
17 Sep@ FK Tobol Kostanay2–0W
12 Sepvs Zhetysu2–1W
6 Sep@ FC Astana0–4L
31 Augvs Kairat Almaty0–2L
16 Aug@ Kaspiy2–2D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Yelimay Semey v Atyrau1–2
Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?

On our numbers Atyrau have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yelimay Semey 44%.

How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?

Our predicted score is Atyrau 1–1 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?

Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.