Value bet: Atyrau to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultYelimay Semey to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.00
Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atyrau welcome Yelimay Semey to Turkestan Arena for a Premier League fixture on Wednesday 14 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Atyrau are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; Yelimay Semey are 6th (upper half) with 45. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atyrau, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zhenys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Yelimay Semey, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Aktobe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Yelimay Semey 1–2 Atyrau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atyrau 1.1 xG, Yelimay Semey 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atyrau 34%, draw 22%, Yelimay Semey 44%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Atyrau to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atyrau 1–1 Yelimay Semey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atyrau34%fair 2.95 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Yelimay Semey44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
2.33Expected goals
1.06Atyrau xG
1.27Yelimay Semey xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Atyrau 1.1 – 1.3 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
On our numbers Atyrau have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yelimay Semey 44%.
How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
Our predicted score is Atyrau 1–1 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.