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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ordabasy v Yelimay Semey: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov
3–1
FT
Ordabasy 65%Draw 22%Yelimay Semey 14% Expected goals 2.04 – 0.81
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOrdabasy to win ✓65% · @1.60
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 19 July: Ordabasy v Yelimay Semey in the Premier League, played at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. In the table, Ordabasy are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 30 matches; Yelimay Semey are 6th (upper half) with 45. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ordabasy, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Altay, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Yelimay Semey, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alashkert, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ordabasy, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Yelimay Semey.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Yelimay Semey 1–3 Ordabasy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ordabasy 2.0 xG, Yelimay Semey 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ordabasy 65%, draw 22%, Yelimay Semey 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ordabasy 2–0 Yelimay Semey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ordabasy65%fair 1.55 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.50
Yelimay Semey14%fair 7.20 · @5.25
2.85Expected goals
2.04Ordabasy xG
0.81Yelimay Semey xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ordabasy 2.0 – 0.8 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrdabasy to win ✓65%1.551.60
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓86%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.832.00 ▲
Draw no betOrdabasy (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapOrdabasy -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.981.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.401.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreOrdabasy to score first67%1.48–
Half-time resultOrdabasy ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy ✓43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

Ordabasy – last 6

WLWWWW
15 Julvs Altay3–1W
11 Jul@ Kaspiy2–3L
5 Julvs Ulytau1–0W
28 Jun@ Ulytau1–0W
20 Junvs Kaspiy2–0W
14 Jun@ Yelimay Semey3–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Yelimay Semey – last 6

DDWWLL
16 Julvs Alashkert1–1D
9 Jul@ Alashkert1–1D
4 Jul@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–0W
27 Junvs Kyzyl-Zhar2–0W
21 Junvs Atyrau1–2L
14 Junvs Ordabasy1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Yelimay Semey v Ordabasy1–3
Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?

On our numbers Ordabasy have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yelimay Semey 14%.

How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?

Our predicted score is Ordabasy 2–0 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?

Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.