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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Irtysh v Kaspiy: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Centralnyj Stadion

Irtysh

WLDLD
3–2
FT

Kaspiy

WDWWW
Irtysh 39%Draw 26%Kaspiy 35% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.21
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultIrtysh to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82

Irtysh vs Kaspiy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Irtysh welcome Kaspiy to Centralnyj Stadion for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 1 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Irtysh are 12th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; Kaspiy are 11th (lower half) with 33. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Irtysh, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ulytau, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Kaspiy, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Zhenys, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kaspiy, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Irtysh.

Head to head

When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Kaspiy 2–2 Irtysh.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Irtysh 1.3 xG, Kaspiy 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Irtysh 39%, draw 26%, Kaspiy 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Irtysh 1–1 Kaspiy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Irtysh39%fair 2.53 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Kaspiy35%fair 2.88 · @2.95
2.55Expected goals
1.34Irtysh xG
1.21Kaspiy xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Irtysh 1.3 – 1.2 Kaspiy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIrtysh to win ✓39%2.532.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.681.73
Draw no betIrtysh (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapKaspiy +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.13–
First team to scoreIrtysh to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Irtysh / FT Irtysh ✗23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.82–

Recent results

Irtysh – last 6

WLDLDL
25 Jul@ Ulytau2–1W
11 Julvs Zhenys0–1L
5 Jul@ Kaisar0–0D
28 Junvs Kaisar1–2L
20 Jun@ Zhenys0–0D
14 Jun@ FC Astana0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kaspiy – last 6

WDWWWL
26 Julvs Zhenys3–2W
18 Jul@ Kaisar1–1D
11 Julvs Ordabasy3–2W
5 Jul@ Atyrau2–1W
27 Junvs Atyrau2–0W
20 Jun@ Ordabasy0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 May 2026Kaspiy v Irtysh2–2
Irtysh vs Kaspiy head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Irtysh vs Kaspiy?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Irtysh vs Kaspiy?

On our numbers Irtysh have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kaspiy 35%.

How many goals will there be in Irtysh vs Kaspiy?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Irtysh vs Kaspiy?

Our predicted score is Irtysh 1–1 Kaspiy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Irtysh vs Kaspiy?

Irtysh vs Kaspiy (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.