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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ordabasy v FK Tobol Kostanay: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov
2–0
FT
Ordabasy 64%Draw 22%FK Tobol Kostanay 15% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.90
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultOrdabasy to win ✓64% · @1.48
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 2 August the Premier League brings Ordabasy against FK Tobol Kostanay at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ordabasy are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 30 matches; FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th (upper half) with 41. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ordabasy, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kairat Almaty, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Panevėžys, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ordabasy, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for FK Tobol Kostanay.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended FK Tobol Kostanay 0–3 Ordabasy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ordabasy 2.0 xG, FK Tobol Kostanay 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ordabasy 64%, draw 22%, FK Tobol Kostanay 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ordabasy 2–0 FK Tobol Kostanay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ordabasy64%fair 1.57 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.20
FK Tobol Kostanay15%fair 6.86 · @5.50
2.93Expected goals
2.03Ordabasy xG
0.90FK Tobol Kostanay xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ordabasy 2.0 – 0.9 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrdabasy to win ✓64%1.571.48
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓85%1.171.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.73
Draw no betOrdabasy (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapOrdabasy -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreOrdabasy to score first ✓66%1.53–
Half-time resultOrdabasy ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy ✓41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Ordabasy – last 6

LWWLWW
26 Jul@ Kairat Almaty1–2L
19 Julvs Yelimay Semey3–1W
15 Julvs Altay3–1W
11 Jul@ Kaspiy2–3L
5 Julvs Ulytau1–0W
28 Jun@ Ulytau1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

DWDDWL
30 Julvs Panevėžys1–1D
26 Julvs Atyrau1–0W
23 Jul@ Panevėžys1–1D
18 Jul@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–1D
12 Julvs Okzhetpes3–1W
4 Jul@ Altay0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026FK Tobol Kostanay v Ordabasy0–3
Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

On our numbers Ordabasy have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Tobol Kostanay 15%.

How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our predicted score is Ordabasy 2–0 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.