FC Astana 67%Draw 21%Kaspiy 12%Expected goals 1.90 – 0.64
67%
Betarazi pick
FC Astana to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Astana to win ✗67% · @1.30
Double chanceFC Astana or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.69
FC Astana vs Kaspiy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Astana welcome Kaspiy to Astana Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 18 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, FC Astana are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Kaspiy are 11th (lower half) with 33. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Astana, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Irtysh, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kaspiy, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Altay, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Astana 1.9 xG, Kaspiy 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Astana 67%, draw 21%, Kaspiy 12%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Astana to win (67%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Astana 1–0 Kaspiy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Astana67%fair 1.49 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.80
Kaspiy12%fair 8.55 · @8.00
2.54Expected goals
1.90FC Astana xG
0.64Kaspiy xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: FC Astana 1.9 – 0.6 Kaspiy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Astana to win✗
67%
1.49
1.30
Double chance
FC Astana or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
FC Astana (draw no bet)
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
FC Astana -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
FC Astana to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
FC Astana ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Astana / FT FC Astana✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.69
–
Recent results
FC Astana – last 6
WLWLWW
14 Oct
@ Irtysh
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
17 Sep
vs Kairat Almaty
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Ordabasy
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Yelimay Semey
4–0
W
30 Aug
@ Atyrau
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kaspiy – last 6
WWLLWD
11 Oct
vs Altay
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Zhetysu
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Aktobe
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Kairat Almaty
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Yelimay Semey
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Astana and Kaspiy.
Our pick is FC Astana to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FC Astana vs Kaspiy?
On our numbers FC Astana have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kaspiy 12%.
How many goals will there be in FC Astana vs Kaspiy?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Astana vs Kaspiy?
Our predicted score is FC Astana 1–0 Kaspiy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Astana vs Kaspiy?
FC Astana vs Kaspiy (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
