FK Tobol Kostanay v Zhenys Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✓48% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zhenys travel to face FK Tobol Kostanay on Saturday 17 October in the Premier League, with Centralnyj Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Zhenys are 8th (upper half) with 36.

Current form

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Astana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Zhenys, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atyrau, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FK Tobol Kostanay, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Zhenys.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Zhenys 1–0 FK Tobol Kostanay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Tobol Kostanay 1.4 xG, Zhenys 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – FK Tobol Kostanay 48%, draw 23%, Zhenys 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 Zhenys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Tobol Kostanay48%fair 2.10 · @2.05

Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00

Zhenys29%fair 3.46 · @3.40

2.44Expected goals

1.42FK Tobol Kostanay xG

1.02Zhenys xG

51%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

2–19%

0–19%

2–09%

0–09%

From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 1.4 – 1.0 Zhenys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FK Tobol Kostanay to win ✓	48%	2.10	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.95	1.85
Draw no bet	FK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Asian handicap	Zhenys +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	FK Tobol Kostanay to score first	53%	1.89	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay ✓	27%	3.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.17	–

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

WLWWLW

10 Oct	vs FC Astana	2–1	W
17 Sep	vs Yelimay Semey	0–2	L
13 Sep	@ Kairat Almaty	4–1	W
6 Sep	vs Ulytau	3–1	W
30 Aug	@ Kaspiy	0–1	L
25 Aug	vs Kaisar	3–2	W

2.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Zhenys – last 6

LLWLLW

10 Oct	vs Atyrau	1–2	L
18 Sep	@ Okzhetpes	1–3	L
12 Sep	vs Kyzyl-Zhar	3–1	W
9 Sep	@ Kairat Almaty	0–3	L
5 Sep	@ Aktobe	0–1	L
29 Aug	vs Altay	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	30	21	5	4	+36	68
2	Kairat Almaty	30	19	8	3	+37	65
3	FC Astana	30	15	9	6	+17	54
4	Okzhetpes	30	16	6	8	+11	54
5	Aktobe	30	14	7	9	+8	49
6	Yelimay Semey	30	12	9	9	-1	45
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	30	12	5	13	0	41
8	Zhenys	30	9	9	12	-8	36
9	Ulytau	30	9	8	13	-11	35
10	Kyzyl-Zhar	30	9	6	15	-11	33
11	Kaspiy	30	9	6	15	-12	33
12	Irtysh	30	8	8	14	-13	32
13	Atyrau	30	6	12	12	-8	30
14	Altay	30	6	10	14	-11	28
15	Zhetysu	30	6	9	15	-18	27
16	Kaisar	30	4	13	13	-16	25

Team

Pts

+36

+37

+17

+11

-1

-8

-11

-11

-12

-13

-8

-11

-18

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys?

On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zhenys 29%.

How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys?

Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 Zhenys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys?

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FK Tobol Kostanay v Zhenys: numbers & prediction