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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kaspiy v FK Tobol Kostanay: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Zhestar Stadium

Kaspiy

DDLWD
1–0
FT
Kaspiy 30%Draw 22%FK Tobol Kostanay 48% Expected goals 1.07 – 1.45
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.05

Kaspiy vs FK Tobol Kostanay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kaspiy welcome FK Tobol Kostanay to Zhestar Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 30 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Kaspiy are 11th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th (upper half) with 41.

Current form

Kaspiy, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Yelimay Semey, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Kaisar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended FK Tobol Kostanay 2–1 Kaspiy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kaspiy 1.1 xG, FK Tobol Kostanay 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kaspiy 30%, draw 22%, FK Tobol Kostanay 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaspiy 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kaspiy30%fair 3.31 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
FK Tobol Kostanay48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
2.52Expected goals
1.07Kaspiy xG
1.45FK Tobol Kostanay xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Kaspiy 1.1 – 1.5 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗48%2.072.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.67
Draw no betFK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet) ✗61%1.63–
Asian handicapKaspiy +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreFK Tobol Kostanay to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.05–

Recent results

Kaspiy – last 6

DDLWDW
16 Augvs Yelimay Semey2–2D
8 Augvs Ulytau1–1D
1 Aug@ Irtysh2–3L
26 Julvs Zhenys3–2W
18 Jul@ Kaisar1–1D
11 Julvs Ordabasy3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

WWLLLD
25 Augvs Kaisar3–2W
16 Aug@ Irtysh2–0W
13 Augvs FK Partizan1–2L
6 Aug@ FK Partizan0–3L
2 Aug@ Ordabasy0–2L
30 Julvs Panevėžys1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026FK Tobol Kostanay v Kaspiy2–1
Kaspiy vs FK Tobol Kostanay head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kaspiy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Kaspiy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

On our numbers Kaspiy have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Tobol Kostanay 48%.

How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our predicted score is Kaspiy 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Kaspiy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Kaspiy vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.