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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yelimay Semey v Kairat Almaty: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Stadion Spartak
0–2
FT
Yelimay Semey 14%Draw 25%Kairat Almaty 61% Expected goals 0.83 – 1.90
86%
Betarazi pick

Kairat Almaty or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Kairat Almaty to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKairat Almaty to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 31 August the Premier League brings Yelimay Semey against Kairat Almaty at Stadion Spartak. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Yelimay Semey are 6th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Kairat Almaty are 2nd (among the top four) with 65. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Yelimay Semey, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kaspiy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Kairat Almaty, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Anderlecht, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Kairat Almaty 2–2 Yelimay Semey.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yelimay Semey 0.8 xG, Kairat Almaty 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yelimay Semey 14%, draw 25%, Kairat Almaty 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kairat Almaty or draw (86%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Kairat Almaty to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kairat Almaty or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yelimay Semey 0–1 Kairat Almaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yelimay Semey14%fair 7.10 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.60
Kairat Almaty61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
2.73Expected goals
0.83Yelimay Semey xG
1.90Kairat Almaty xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%

From our goals model: Yelimay Semey 0.8 – 1.9 Kairat Almaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKairat Almaty to win ✓61%1.641.75 ▲
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓86%1.161.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.67
Draw no betKairat Almaty (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapKairat Almaty -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreKairat Almaty to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultKairat Almaty ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Yelimay Semey – last 6

DWDDLD
16 Aug@ Kaspiy2–2D
9 Augvs Irtysh3–1W
2 Aug@ Zhenys0–0D
26 Julvs Kaisar1–1D
19 Jul@ Ordabasy1–3L
16 Julvs Alashkert1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kairat Almaty – last 6

LLWLLW
27 Aug@ Anderlecht0–3L
20 Augvs Anderlecht0–3L
15 Augvs Ulytau3–1W
11 Augvs Levski Sofia0–1L
4 Aug@ Levski Sofia0–1L
29 Julvs Omonia Nicosia1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Kairat Almaty v Yelimay Semey2–2
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty?

Our pick is Kairat Almaty or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty?

On our numbers Yelimay Semey have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kairat Almaty 61%.

How many goals will there be in Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty?

Our predicted score is Yelimay Semey 0–1 Kairat Almaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty?

Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.