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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aktobe v Zhenys: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Koblandy Batyr Stadium

Aktobe

LWDLW
1–0
FT

Zhenys

WWWDL
Aktobe 60%Draw 22%Zhenys 18% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.74
82%
Betarazi pick

Aktobe or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Aktobe to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAktobe to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceAktobe or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85

Aktobe vs Zhenys: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zhenys travel to face Aktobe on Saturday 5 September in the Premier League, with Koblandy Batyr Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Aktobe are 5th, upper half, on 49 points after 30 matches; Zhenys are 8th (upper half) with 36. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aktobe, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Irtysh, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Zhenys, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Altay, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Zhenys 1–0 Aktobe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aktobe 1.6 xG, Zhenys 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aktobe 60%, draw 22%, Zhenys 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Aktobe or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Aktobe to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Aktobe or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aktobe 1–0 Zhenys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aktobe60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.25
Zhenys18%fair 5.62 · @4.00
2.38Expected goals
1.64Aktobe xG
0.74Zhenys xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Aktobe 1.6 – 0.7 Zhenys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAktobe to win ✓60%1.671.80 ▲
Double chanceAktobe or draw ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.80
Draw no betAktobe (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapZhenys +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreAktobe to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aktobe / FT Aktobe ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.85–

Recent results

Aktobe – last 6

LWDLWW
30 Aug@ Irtysh1–2L
15 Aug@ Kaisar2–1W
9 Aug@ Atyrau1–1D
1 Aug@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–3L
25 Julvs Okzhetpes2–1W
19 Jul@ Altay4–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Zhenys – last 6

WWWDLL
29 Augvs Altay1–0W
19 Augvs Kaisar3–2W
15 Augvs Zhetysu4–1W
2 Augvs Yelimay Semey0–0D
29 Jul@ Kaisar1–3L
26 Jul@ Kaspiy2–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Zhenys v Aktobe1–0
Aktobe vs Zhenys head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aktobe vs Zhenys?

Our pick is Aktobe or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Aktobe vs Zhenys?

On our numbers Aktobe have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zhenys 18%.

How many goals will there be in Aktobe vs Zhenys?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aktobe vs Zhenys?

Our predicted score is Aktobe 1–0 Zhenys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Aktobe vs Zhenys?

Aktobe vs Zhenys (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Koblandy Batyr Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.