Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultKairat Almaty to win ✗62% · @1.44
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✗82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kairat Almaty welcome FK Tobol Kostanay to Almaty Central Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 13 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Kairat Almaty are 2nd, among the top four, on 65 points after 30 matches; FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th (upper half) with 41. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kairat Almaty, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Zhenys, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ulytau, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kairat Almaty, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for FK Tobol Kostanay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kairat Almaty 1.8 xG, FK Tobol Kostanay 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kairat Almaty 62%, draw 20%, FK Tobol Kostanay 18%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kairat Almaty to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kairat Almaty 1–0 FK Tobol Kostanay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kairat Almaty62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.90
FK Tobol Kostanay18%fair 5.48 · @6.00
2.63Expected goals
1.80Kairat Almaty xG
0.83FK Tobol Kostanay xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Kairat Almaty 1.8 – 0.8 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kairat Almaty to win✗
62%
1.61
1.44
Double chance
Kairat Almaty or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Kairat Almaty (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Kairat Almaty -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Kairat Almaty to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Kairat Almaty ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Kairat Almaty – last 6
WWWLLW
9 Sep
vs Zhenys
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Kaspiy
3–0
W
31 Aug
@ Yelimay Semey
2–0
W
27 Aug
@ Anderlecht
0–3
L
20 Aug
vs Anderlecht
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs Ulytau
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6
WLWWLL
6 Sep
vs Ulytau
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Kaspiy
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Kaisar
3–2
W
16 Aug
@ Irtysh
2–0
W
13 Aug
vs FK Partizan
1–2
L
6 Aug
@ FK Partizan
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kairat Almaty and FK Tobol Kostanay.
What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our pick is Kairat Almaty to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
On our numbers Kairat Almaty have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FK Tobol Kostanay 18%.
How many goals will there be in Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our predicted score is Kairat Almaty 1–0 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Almaty Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
