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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ordabasy v FC Astana: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov
1–0
FT
Ordabasy 60%Draw 24%FC Astana 16% Expected goals 1.89 – 0.88
60%
Betarazi pick

Ordabasy to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultOrdabasy to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.23

Ordabasy vs FC Astana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the Premier League brings Ordabasy against FC Astana at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ordabasy are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 30 matches; FC Astana are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ordabasy, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Okzhetpes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Astana, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Yelimay Semey, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ordabasy 1.9 xG, FC Astana 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ordabasy 60%, draw 24%, FC Astana 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ordabasy to win (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ordabasy 1–0 FC Astana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ordabasy60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
FC Astana16%fair 6.34 · @3.90
2.77Expected goals
1.89Ordabasy xG
0.88FC Astana xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Ordabasy 1.9 – 0.9 FC Astana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrdabasy to win ✓60%1.671.75
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓84%1.19–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.96–
Draw no betOrdabasy (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapOrdabasy -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreOrdabasy to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultOrdabasy ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy ✗39%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%14.23–

Recent results

Ordabasy – last 6

LWWWWW
5 Sep@ Okzhetpes1–2L
29 Augvs Kyzyl-Zhar3–0W
19 Aug@ Altay2–1W
15 Augvs Altay3–1W
8 Aug@ Zhetysu4–0W
2 Augvs FK Tobol Kostanay2–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Astana – last 6

WWDWWW
6 Sepvs Yelimay Semey4–0W
30 Aug@ Atyrau3–2W
16 Aug@ Kyzyl-Zhar1–1D
9 Augvs Okzhetpes2–1W
2 Aug@ Ulytau2–0W
26 Julvs Altay4–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ordabasy and FC Astana.

Ordabasy vs FC Astana head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ordabasy vs FC Astana?

Our pick is Ordabasy to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Ordabasy vs FC Astana?

On our numbers Ordabasy have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Astana 16%.

How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs FC Astana?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs FC Astana?

Our predicted score is Ordabasy 1–0 FC Astana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ordabasy vs FC Astana?

Ordabasy vs FC Astana (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.