Value bet: Irtysh to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIrtysh to win ✓40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.26
Atyrau vs Irtysh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Premier League brings Atyrau against Irtysh at Munaishy Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Atyrau are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; Irtysh are 12th (lower half) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atyrau, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Altay, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Irtysh, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Kairat Almaty, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended Irtysh 1–1 Atyrau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atyrau 1.1 xG, Irtysh 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atyrau 37%, draw 23%, Irtysh 40%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Irtysh to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atyrau 1–1 Irtysh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atyrau37%fair 2.73 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Irtysh40%fair 2.49 · @2.80
2.18Expected goals
1.06Atyrau xG
1.12Irtysh xG
56%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Atyrau 1.1 – 1.1 Irtysh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Atyrau vs Irtysh?
On our numbers Atyrau have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Irtysh 40%.
How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs Irtysh?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs Irtysh?
Our predicted score is Atyrau 1–1 Irtysh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atyrau vs Irtysh?
Atyrau vs Irtysh (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Munaishy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
