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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kaspiy v Kyzyl-Zhar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Zhestar Stadium

Kaspiy

LDWWL
1–2
FT
Kaspiy 56%Draw 25%Kyzyl-Zhar 20% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.85
80%
Betarazi pick

Kaspiy or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Kaspiy to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKaspiy to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceKaspiy or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57

Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the Premier League brings Kaspiy against Kyzyl-Zhar at Zhestar Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Kaspiy are 11th, lower half, on 33 points after 30 matches; Kyzyl-Zhar are 10th (lower half) with 33. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kaspiy, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Okzhetpes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Kyzyl-Zhar, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ulytau, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Kyzyl-Zhar 2–1 Kaspiy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kaspiy 1.6 xG, Kyzyl-Zhar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kaspiy 56%, draw 25%, Kyzyl-Zhar 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kaspiy or draw (80%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Kaspiy to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kaspiy or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaspiy 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kaspiy56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.25
Kyzyl-Zhar20%fair 5.12 · @3.60
2.48Expected goals
1.63Kaspiy xG
0.85Kyzyl-Zhar xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Kaspiy 1.6 – 0.8 Kyzyl-Zhar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKaspiy to win ✗56%1.791.91 ▲
Double chanceKaspiy or draw ✗80%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.741.80
Draw no betKaspiy (draw no bet) ✗74%1.35–
Asian handicapKyzyl-Zhar +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreKaspiy to score first60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kaspiy / FT Kaspiy ✗34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

Kaspiy – last 6

LDWWLL
24 Oct@ Okzhetpes0–3L
18 Oct@ FC Astana2–2D
11 Octvs Altay2–1W
18 Sep@ Zhetysu1–0W
12 Sepvs Aktobe1–2L
5 Sepvs Kairat Almaty0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kyzyl-Zhar – last 6

WLWDLL
24 Octvs Ulytau1–0W
17 Oct@ Okzhetpes0–1L
10 Oct@ Irtysh2–0W
18 Sepvs Kaisar1–1D
12 Sep@ Zhenys1–3L
5 Sepvs Atyrau0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Kyzyl-Zhar v Kaspiy2–1
Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Our pick is Kaspiy or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

On our numbers Kaspiy have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kyzyl-Zhar 20%.

How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Our predicted score is Kaspiy 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.