Value bet: FC Cincinnati to win @ 3.45 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTigres UANL to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.84
FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tigres UANL travel to face FC Cincinnati on Friday 13 March in the CONCACAF Champions League, with TQL Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Current form
FC Cincinnati, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Toronto FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Tigres UANL, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Monterrey, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cincinnati 1.8 xG, Tigres UANL 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cincinnati 36%, draw 25%, Tigres UANL 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: FC Cincinnati to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cincinnati 1–1 Tigres UANL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cincinnati36%fair 2.75 · @3.45
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.15
Tigres UANL38%fair 2.61 · @2.15
3.34Expected goals
1.76FC Cincinnati xG
1.58Tigres UANL xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 1.8 – 1.6 Tigres UANL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL to win✗
38%
2.61
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Tigres UANL (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Tigres UANL +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.40 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.07
First team to score
FC Cincinnati to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Cincinnati / FT FC Cincinnati✓
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.84
–
Recent results
FC Cincinnati – last 4
LWLW
9 Mar
vs Toronto FC
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Universidad O&M
9–0
W
22 Feb
vs Louisville City
0–4
L
19 Feb
@ Universidad O&M
4–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Tigres UANL – last 5
WLWLL
8 Mar
vs Monterrey
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Puebla
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Club America
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cincinnati and Tigres UANL.
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?
On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tigres UANL 38%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?
Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 1–1 Tigres UANL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?
FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL (CONCACAF Champions League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at TQL Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vancouver Whitecaps0
Seattle Sounders3