Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓10% · fair 10.31
BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Wednesday 18 March: BG Pathum United v Mahasarakham United in the League Cup, played at BG Stadium.
Current form
BG Pathum United, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Chonburi FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Mahasarakham United, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pattani, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BG Pathum United 2.1 xG, Mahasarakham United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BG Pathum United 69%, draw 19%, Mahasarakham United 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was BG Pathum United to win (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: BG Pathum United 2–0 Mahasarakham United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BG Pathum United69%fair 1.45 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @5.00
Mahasarakham United12%fair 8.12 · @7.00
2.77Expected goals
2.11BG Pathum United xG
0.67Mahasarakham United xG
44%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: BG Pathum United 2.1 – 0.7 Mahasarakham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Double chance
BG Pathum United or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
BG Pathum United (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
BG Pathum United -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
BG Pathum United to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
BG Pathum United ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✓
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
BG Pathum United – last 4
LWWL
8 Mar
vs Chonburi FC
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Sukhothai FC
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Buriram United
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Mahasarakham United – last 6
LDWDWW
15 Mar
@ Pattani
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Police Tero
0–0
D
4 Mar
vs Esan Pattaya
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Nakhon Si Thammarat
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Songkhla
3–0
W
19 Feb
@ Chainat
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BG Pathum United and Mahasarakham United.
What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United?
Our pick is BG Pathum United to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United?
On our numbers BG Pathum United have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mahasarakham United 12%.
How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United?
Our predicted score is BG Pathum United 2–0 Mahasarakham United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United?
BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United (League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at BG Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
League Cup · Thailand · BG Stadium
Chonburi FC1
Thap Luang United0
Pattani0
Buriram United3
Port FC7
Khon Kaen United0